Tuesday, October 10, 2006

SYRIA, IRAN PLAN PRE-EMPTIVE ATTACK ON ISRAEL TO HALT U.S. STRIKE ON IRAN NUKE FACILITIES

From Debka comes this strange story that Syria and Iran will actually strike Israel as a way to ward off a U.S. planned strike on Iran's nuke facilities.

Here's the meat of the story...
Our military and Washington sources read as preparatory justification the Syrian ruler Bashar Asad’s statement Saturday, Oct. 7, that he expects an Israeli attack. He was speaking in an interview to Kuwaiti paper al-Anba. Asad’s Iranian-backed war plan would serve the purpose of forcing the Americans to divide their military assets between a strike against Iran and the defense of their allies in the Persia Gulf, Israel and US forces in Iraq. Both are seriously looking at a Syrian attack on the Golan which would escalate into a full-blown Syrian-Israeli war and a second Hizballah assault from Lebanon.

[...]

According to DEBKAfile’s sources, Asad and Iran’s supreme ruler Ayatollah Ali Khamenei are prompted by the following motives: 1. Tehran is not prepared to wait passively for the Americans to build up their assault force in the Gulf and strike its nuclear facilities. A pre-emptive attack would suit them better. 2. Tehran and Damascus have not missed the debilitating crisis in which Israel’s political and military leadership are sunk since the Lebanon war. They do not propose to wait until the IDF pulls itself together enough to handle fresh aggression. 3. Both accept Israel’s deputy prime minister Shimon Peres’ assessment that Israel’s cities are not prepared for missile attack. Iran and Syria take it for granted that Israeli leaders understand they cannot afford to launch missiles against either one of them for fear of reprisal in kind. 4. Syria believes that if Hizballah could stand up to the Israeli army in Lebanon, its commandoes can capture sections of the Golan and walk off with an easy victory. 5. Tehran figures that the Bush administration is coming to the end of its patience in Iraq and preparing for a major review of its position there.

Let's look at some interesting parallels here. Remember in July, when N. Korea launched its Taepodong-2 missiles? About a week later, Hizbollah attacked Israel. Was this a coincidence, or a strategic move by the "axis-of-evil" to threaten the West on two fronts simultaneously? Now we have a (supposed) nuke test from N. Korea. Is another Hezbollah / Syrian / Iranian attack against Israel imminent? Based on Debka's analysis from above, it would appear so. But, according to Debka, this attack would be an attempt to head off a U.S. - led strike against Iran's nuke sites. If this is so, then we should see some signs that we are moving closer to striking Iran, right? One of the most obvious (and hard to hide) signs that an attack on Iran is in the offing is increased battle carrier movements to persian gulf and indian ocean. Do we have that. Yes we do. Remember, way back in March, Spengler predicted that the "October Surprise" for 2006 would be a U.S. strike against Iran's nuclear capabilities. We are fast approaching election time... are you ready?

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